Description

Arkenau et al developed a simple prognostic score for patients with a malignant neoplasm. This can be used to help separate patients into prognostic groups for Phase I clinical trials. The authors are from the Royal Marsden Hospital and Institute of Cancer Research in England.


Parameters:

(1) serum LDH relative to the upper limit of normal (ULN)

(2) serum albumin

(3) number of metastatic sites

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

serum LDH

<= upper limit of normal

0

 

> upper limit of normal

1

serum albumin

>= 3.5 g/dL

0

 

< 3.5 g/dL

1

number of metastatic sites

0, 1 or 2

0

 

3 or more

1

 

where:

• The number of metastatic sites does not refer to the number of metastases. Sites of metastases include lung, liver, bone and lymph node.

 

total score =

= SUM(points for all 3 parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: 0

• maximum score: 3

• The higher the score the worse the prognosis.

 

Total Score

Risk Group

Median (50%) Survival

0 or 1

low

33 months

2 or 3

high

16 months

 

Limitations:

• The accuracy of the score is determined by the type of malignant neoplasm. The reference population probably should be patients with a specific type of tumor rather than all patients.

• Most of the patients in the study had gastrointestinal tumors.

• Some tumors (like urologic tract tumors) may have a better prognosis than other types of tumor.

• Hematologic neoplasms would not be covered.


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