Description

Christiaans et al evaluated clinical findings that might help determine if a patient with a history of cancer has intracranial metastases. The authors are from 4 hospitals in The Netherlands.


 

Parameters:

(1) duration of new headache or change in nature

(2) type of headache

(3) emesis

 

Parameter

Finding

Odds Ratio

95% CI

p value

duration

<= 10 weeks

11.0

1.1 to 108.2

0.04

type

not tension type

6.7

1.8 to 25.1

0.004

emesis

present

4.0

1.1 to 14.3

0.03

 

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

duration of headache

<= 10 weeks

2.4

 

> 10 weeks

0

type of headache

tension type

0

 

not tension type

1.9

emesis

absent

0

 

present

1.4

 

where:

• The points assigned are equal to LN(odds ratio) for each parameter.

 

index =

= SUM(points for all 3 parameters) – 3.9

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: -3.9 (absence of all 3 findings)

• maximum score: 1.8

 

Index

Situations

Risk of Intracerebral Metastases

-3.9

none of the 3 findings

very low

-2.5 to –2.0

vomiting only, headache type only

low

-1.5 to –0.1

duration only, vomiting and headache type, vomiting and duration

intermediate

0.4 to 1.8

headache type and duration, all 3 findings

high

after Table 3, page 2068

 

where:

• The value for emesis + headache in Table 3 is given as –1.0 but should be –0.1.

 

Performance:

• The area under the ROC curve was 0.83.

• Because of the low specificity of the findings, it was felt that few patients would not need an MRI to exclude metastases. It was felt that an MRI is warranted in all cancer patients with a new or changed headache of recent onset.

• MRI can be excluded in those patients without any of the 3 symptoms (and this group would not be covered by the headache of new onset or recent change).

 

Limitations:

• The authors felt the findings need to be evaluated in a larger prospective study.

• The authors mentioned that stage of the disease might be an additional independent risk factor.

• I would think that including frequency data of brain metastases for the patient's tumor might be helpful (i.e, is the tumor one that frequently or rarely goes to brain).

 


To read more or access our algorithms and calculators, please log in or register.