Description

Psallidas et al reported 2 scores for the PROMISE study, one clinical and one biochemical. Both can stratify patients with a malignant pleural effusion. The authors are from multiple institutions in Europe, Russia and the United States.


Patient selection: malignant pleural effusion

 

Outcome: 3-month mortality

 

Differences between the clinical and biological scores:

(1) tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinase 1 (TIMP1)

(2) different weightings for the other parameters

 

Parameters for the biochemical score:

(1) chemotherapy

(2) radiotherapy

(3) hemoglobin in g/dL

(4) white blood cell count in 10^9/L

(5) C-reactive protein in nmol/L

(6) ECOG performance status

(7) cancer type

(8) TIMP1 in ng per mg protein

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

chemotherapy

no

0

 

yes

3

radiotherapy

no

0

 

yes

2

hemoglobin

> 16 g/dL

0

 

14 to 16

1

 

12 to 14

2

 

10 to 12

3

 

< 10 g/dL

4

WBC count

< 4 * 10^9/L

0

 

4 to 6.3

2

 

6.3 to 10

4

 

10 to 15.8

7

 

> 15.8 * 10^9/L

9

C-reactive protein

< 3 nmol/L

0

 

3 to 10

3

 

10 to 32

5

 

32 to 100

8

 

> 100

10

ECOG performance

0 or 1

0

 

2 to 4

7

cancer type

mesothelioma

0

 

lung

6

 

other

5

TIMP1

< 40 ng per mg protein

0

 

40 to 160

1

 

> 160

2

 

where:

• The apparent SIU for CRP is nmol/L. 1 nmol/L = 0.105 mg/L if the molecular weight is taken as 105,000 Daltons. However, higher molecular weights (up to 144,000) are given.

 

total score =

= SUM(points for all 8 parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: 0

• maximum score: 43

• The higher the score the worse the prognosis.

 

Clinical Score

Group

3-Month Mortality

0 to 20

A

< 25%

21 to 28

B

25 to 49.9%

29 to 37

C

50 to 74.9%

38 to 43

D

75 to 100%

 

 

Score

Absolute Risk

0

2.2

1

2.5

2

2.8

3

3.2

4

3.7

5

4.1

6

4.7

7

5.3

8

6

9

6.8

10

7.7

11

8.7

12

9.8

13

11

14

12.3

15

13.8

16

15.5

17

17.3

18

19.2

19

21.4

20

23.6

21

26.1

22

28.7

23

31.5

24

34.4

25

37.4

26

40.5

27

43.7

28

46.9

29

50.2

30

53.5

31

56.7

32

59.9

33

63

34

66

35

68.9

36

71.6

37

74.2

38

76.7

39

78.9

40

81

41

83

42

> 83

43

> 83

from the Appendix

 

Performance:

• The area under the ROC curve was 0.81.


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