Description

Patients at risk for morbidity and mortality following coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) surgery can be identified using a clinical risk score developed at Allegheny General Hospital in Pittsburgh.


NOTE: The score appears to apply to patients having bypass graft surgery only and not concurrent valve surgery.

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

age

< 65 years

0

 

65 - 69 years

1

 

70 - 74 years

2

 

>= 75 years

3

gender

male

0

 

female

1

operation timeliness

elective

0

 

urgent

4

 

emergency

5

reoperation

no

0

 

yes

1

diabetes mellitus

non-insulin dependent

1

 

insulin dependent

2

renal dysfunction

creatinine 1.5 - 1.9 mg/dL

1

 

creatinine > 1.9 mg/dL

2

left ventricular dysfunction

ejection fraction >= 30%

0

 

severe (ejection fraction < 30%)

4

serum albumin

>= 4.0 g/dL

0

 

< 4 g/dL (paper says < 4 mg/dL which seems an error)

1

BUN

<= 29 mg/dL

0

 

> 29 mg/dL

1

 

 

Additional Risk Factors

Points

cardiogenic shock

7

congestive heart failure

1

cardiomegaly

2

atrial arrhythmia

1

catheterization induced coronary closure

4

peripheral vascular disease

2

cerebrovascular disease

1

anemia

1

chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

1

low body mass index

1

 

clinical risk score =

= SUM(points for parameters) + SUM(points for additional risk factors)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: 0

• maximum score: 41 (20 + 21)

 

Clinical Risk Score

Mortality Risk

Percent Predicted

0 - 4

low

0.2%

5 - 8

average

2%

9 - 11

moderate

6%

12 - 18

high

30%

>= 19

extremely high

95%

(Table 3 and Figure 1, page 1150)

 

Clinical Risk Score

Morbidity Risk

Percent Predicted

0 - 2

low

20%

3 - 5

moderate

50%

6 - 8

high

74%

>= 9

extremely high

93%

(Table 3 and Figure 2, page 1150)


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