Description

Ranucci et al reported an update to the ACEF score for patients undergoing cardiac surgery. This can help to identify a patient who may benefit from more aggressive management. The authors are from IRCCS Policlinico San Donato in Milan and University Hospital Santa Maria alle Scotte in Siena.


Patient selection: cardiac surgery

 

Outcome: 30-day mortality

 

Parameters:

(1) age in years

(2) left ventricular ejection fraction in percent

(3) serum creatinine in mg/dL

(4) emergency surgery

(5) hematocrit in percent

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

serum creatinine

<= 2.0 mg/dL

0

 

> 2 mg/dL

2

emergency surgery

no

0

 

yes

3

hematocrit

>= 36

0

 

< 36

0.2 * (hematocrit) - 36

 

ACEF II =

= ((age in years) / (LVEF)) + SUM(points for the other 3 parameters)

 

X =

= (0.75 * (ACEF II)) - 4.86

 

probability of operative mortality =

= 1 / (1 + EXP((-1) * X))

 

Performance:

The area under the ROC curve is 0.81.


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