Description

Li et al developed a model for predicting ovarian function in a premenopausal woman with breast cancer and amenorrhea after chemotherapy. The authors are from West China Hospital and Sichuan University in China.


 

Patient selection: premenopausal woman with breast cancer and chemotherapy-induced amenorrhea

 

Parameters:

(1) age in years

(2) FSH concentration in IU/L (Roche E170, Roche Diagnostics)

(3) estradiol (E2) concentration in pg/mL (Roche E170, Roche Diagnostics)

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

age in years

< 40 years

0

 

>= 40 years

1

FSH

<= 23.8 IU/L

0

 

> 23.8 IU/L

1

estradiol (E2)

<= 13.5 pg/mL

0

 

> 13.5 pg/mL

1

 

total score =

= (points for age) + (points for FSH) - (points for E2)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: -1

• maximum score: 2

• A score <= 1 is associated with preserved ovarian function.

• A score of 2 would be associated with loss of ovarian function.

 

Performance:

• The sensitivity was 95% and specificity 79%.

• The area under the ROC curve is 0.92.

 

Limitations:

• The methods for measuring FSH and estradiol would need to perform similar to the assays used in the study.

 


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