Description

Nell et al developed a decision tree based on serologic testing that can identify a patient with early arthritis who is at risk for developing rheumatoid arthritis (RA) with erosive disease. This can help identify patients who may benefit from closer monitoring and more aggressive management. The authors are from the University of Vienna.


Serologic tests:

(1) rheumatoid factor (RF) in U per mL (> 20 U/mL positive)

(2) antibodies to cyclic citrullinated peptide (anti-CCP, positive if > 5 arbitrary units)

(3) anti-RA33 (targets ribonucleoprotein A2)

 

Time of initial assessment: < 3 months since onset of symptoms

 

RF

Anti-CCP

Anti-RA33

Final Diagnosis RA

>= 50 U/mL

NA

NA

45%, high risk of developing RA, high risk erosive disease

< 50 U/mL

positive

NA

14%, high risk of developing RA, high risk erosive disease

< 50 U/mL

negative

positive

13%, moderate risk of developing RA, good prognosis

< 50 U/mL

negative

negative

28%, low risk of developing RA, excellent prognosis

 

 

RF

Anti-CCP

Anti-RA33

Final Diagnosis not RA

>= 50 U/mL

NA

NA

4%,

< 50 U/mL

positive

NA

2%

< 50 U/mL

negative

positive

9%

< 50 U/mL

negative

negative

85%

 

Performance

 

Test

Sensitivity for RA

Specificity for RA

RF positive (> 20 U/mL)

55%

89%

RF high titer (>= 50 U/mL)

45%

96%

anti-CCP positive

41%

98%

anti-RA33

28%

90%

 


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