The Cedars-Sinai Medical Center Predictive Index is a scoring system providing initial risk assessment for patients with upper gastrointestinal tract hemorrhage.
Four variables identified as affecting risk:
(1) esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD) findings
(2) time from onset of bleeding
(3) hemodynamic status
(4) comorbidities
Parameter |
Finding |
Points |
---|---|---|
EGD findings |
persistent upper GI hemorrhage |
4 |
|
varices |
4 |
|
upper GI cancer |
4 |
|
peptic ulcer disease with visible vessel, nonbleeding |
2 |
|
peptic ulcer disease with stigmata of recent hemorrhage |
2 |
|
peptic ulcer disease with spot or clot |
1 |
|
erosive disease with stigmata of recent hemorrhage |
1 |
|
angiodysplasia |
1 |
|
peptic ulcer disease with no stigmata of recent hemorrhage |
0 |
|
Mallory-Weiss tear, nonbleeding |
0 |
|
erosive disease |
0 |
|
normal examination |
0 |
time since onset of symptoms prior to hospitalization |
>= 48 hours |
0 |
|
< 48 hours |
1 |
|
in hospital |
2 |
hemodynamics |
stable |
0 |
|
intermediate |
1 |
|
unstable |
2 |
comorbidities |
0 or 1 |
0 |
|
2 |
1 |
|
3 |
2 |
|
4 or more |
3 |
UGI Disorder |
Endoscopic Finding |
Description |
---|---|---|
peptic ulcer disease |
|
white based break in mucosal surface with obvious depth |
|
clean base with no stigmata of recent hemorrhage |
flat ulcer base without pigmentation |
|
spot |
nonelevated red, brown or black pigmentation in ulcer bed |
|
adherent clot |
thrombus overlying ulcer bed resistant to endoscopic washing |
|
visible vessel, nonbleeding |
raised, rounded, relatively smooth-surfaced red or blue pigmented plug in ulcer crater |
|
active |
pulsatile blood flow or continuous oozing during endoscopic exam |
Mallory-Weiss tear |
|
linear vertical breaks in mucosal surface at GE junction; bleeding or nonbleeding |
erosive disease |
|
superficial break in mucosal surface without obvious depth |
|
no stigmata of recent hemorrhage |
white-based lesions without associated thrombus, friability or oozing |
|
stigmata of recent hemorrhage |
pigment-based lesions with associated thrombus, friability or intermittent oozing of extensive surface area |
angiodysplasia |
|
intramucosal pigmented vessels; bleeding or nonbleeding |
varices |
|
tortuous columns of blue pigmented submucosal vessels; bleeding or nonbleeding |
upper GI cancer |
mass |
elevated submucosal lesion without break in mucosa or pigmentation; bleeding or nonbleeding |
normal endoscopy |
no abnormality seen |
|
active bleeding |
|
no diagnosis made due to incomplete visualization from bleeding |
Comorbidity |
Conditions |
---|---|
cardiac disease |
dysrhythmia |
|
acute myocardial infarction |
|
ischemic chest pain |
|
symptomatic congestive heart failure requiring therapy |
hepatic disease |
acute alcoholic hepatitis |
|
cirrhosis |
pulmonary disease |
acute respiratory failure |
|
pneumonia |
|
symptomatic obstructive lung disease requiring therapy |
renal disease |
serum creatinine > 4 mg/dL |
|
dialysis therapy |
neurologic disease |
delirium |
|
dementia |
|
stroke within 6 months |
malignancy |
known solid tumor |
sepsis |
|
major surgery |
within 30 days |
age |
> 60 years |
unstable |
meets criteria for continued in hospital treatment |
predictive index score =
= (points for EGD findings) + (points for time) + (points for hemodynamics) + (points for comorbidities)
Interpretation:
• minimum score 0
• maximum score 11
Predictive Index Score |
Risk |
---|---|
0, 1, 2 |
low |
3 or 4 |
intermediate |
>= 5 |
high |
Purpose: To use the Cedars-Sinai Medical Center Predictive Index for initial risk assessment in a patient with upper gastrointestinal hemorrhage.
Specialty: Gastroenterology
Objective: clinical diagnosis, including family history for genetics, severity, prognosis, stage
ICD-10: I85.0, K25, K26, K29,