Description

A linear step-wise discriminant function can be used to identify the most important predictors of mortality in alcoholic liver disease.


 

step-wise discriminant function score =

= (0.21 * (prothrombin time in seconds)) - (0.019 * (hemoglobin as percent normal)) - (0.60 * (albumin in g/dL)) + (1.14 * (encephalopathy score)) + 3.6

 

where:

• prothrombin time = (patient's prothrombin time in second) - (normal control PT in seconds)

• Hemoglobin is expressed as a whole number.

• The "normal" hemoglobin used for calculation is lower limit of reference range; an alternative would be the mean of the reference range.

• The encephalopathy score is 1, 2 or 3.

 

Interpretation

 

Score

% mortality

< -1.1

6%

-1.1 to -0.01

12%

0 - 1.09

20%

1.1 - 2.19

65%

2.2 - 3.29

72%

>= 3.30

100%

 

where:

• The percent mortality is estimated from Figure 5, page 902.

 


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