Malatack et al developed a score for predicting the mortality risk by 6 months in a child with end-stage liver disease. This can help prioritize children for liver transplantation. The authors are from the Universities of Pittsburgh and Nebraska.
Parameters:
(1) serum total cholesterol
(2) history of ascites
(3) serum indirect bilirubin
(4) PTT
Parameter |
Finding |
Points |
---|---|---|
serum total cholesterol |
>= 100 mg/dL |
0 |
|
< 100 mg/dL |
+15 |
history of ascites |
absent |
0 |
|
present |
+15 |
serum indirect bilirubin |
< 3 mg/dL |
0 |
|
3 – 6 mg/dL |
+11 |
|
> 6 mg/dL |
+13 |
PTT – (upper limit of control) |
> 20 seconds |
+10 |
|
<= 20 seconds |
0 |
where:
• indirect bilirubin = (total serum bilirubin) – (direct bilirubin)
prognostic score =
= SUM(points for all 4 parameters)
Interpretation:
• minimum score: 0
• maximum score: 53
• The higher the score, the worse the prognosis.
Score |
Risk for Death in 6 Months |
---|---|
0 – 27 |
low |
28 – 39 |
moderate |
>= 40 |
high |
where:
• In the original table there is overlap between low and moderate risk at 28 points. I changed the upper limit of the low risk range to 27.
Purpose: To evaluate a child with progressive liver disease for mortality risk, to help prioritize patients for liver transplantation.
Specialty: Gastroenterology
Objective: severity, prognosis, stage
ICD-10: K72, K76.7,