Description

Malatack et al developed a score for predicting the mortality risk by 6 months in a child with end-stage liver disease. This can help prioritize children for liver transplantation. The authors are from the Universities of Pittsburgh and Nebraska.


Parameters:

(1) serum total cholesterol

(2) history of ascites

(3) serum indirect bilirubin

(4) PTT

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

serum total cholesterol

>= 100 mg/dL

0

 

< 100 mg/dL

+15

history of ascites

absent

0

 

present

+15

serum indirect bilirubin

< 3 mg/dL

0

 

3 – 6 mg/dL

+11

 

> 6 mg/dL

+13

PTT – (upper limit of control)

> 20 seconds

+10

 

<= 20 seconds

0

 

where:

• indirect bilirubin = (total serum bilirubin) – (direct bilirubin)

 

prognostic score =

= SUM(points for all 4 parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: 0

• maximum score: 53

• The higher the score, the worse the prognosis.

 

Score

Risk for Death in 6 Months

0 – 27

low

28 – 39

moderate

>= 40

high

 

where:

• In the original table there is overlap between low and moderate risk at 28 points. I changed the upper limit of the low risk range to 27.


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