Description

Shamash et al developed a prognostic index (PI) for predicting the response of a patient with castrate-resistant prostate cancer to dexamethasone and diethylstilbesterol therapy (DS therapy). This can help to identify patients who are likely to benefit from the therapy. The authors are from multiple hospitals in England and the United States.


DS therapy consists of:

(1) 2 mg dexamethasone po once daily

(2) 1 mg diethylstilbesterol po once daily

 

DS therapy was given for one of the following reasons in a patient who had failed initial hormone therapy for hormone sensitive disease:

(1) rising serum PSA > 20 ng/mL

(2) rising serum PSA AND symptomatic progression before chemotherapy

 

Parameters:

(1) initial serum PSA in ng/mL

(2) response ratio (serum PSA in percent after 1 month of therapy, compared to the pretreatment PSA)

 

ratio of PSA after to before therapy =

= (serum PSA 1 month after starting therapy) / (serum PSA before starting therapy)

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

initial serum PSA

< 82.5 ng/mL

0

 

>= 82.5 ng/mL

1

ratio PSA after to before therapy

<= 50%

0

 

> 50%

1

 

where:

• A serum PSA of 82.5 ng/mL was the median value.

 

total score =

= (points for serum PSA) + (points for response ratio)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: 0

• maximum score: 2

• The higher the score the worse the prognosis.

 

Total Score

Prognostic Group

2-Year Overall  Survival

0

good

68%

1

intermediate

40%

2

poor

12%

 


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