Ridker et al reported a model for prediction of cardiovascular disease in men. The authors are from Brigham and Women's Hospital.
Parameters:
(1) age in years
(2) systolic blood pressure (SBP) in mm Hg
(3) total serum cholesterol in mg/dL
(4) serum HDL cholesterol in mg/dL
(5) current smoker
(6) serum hsCRP in mg/L
(7) parental history of premature myocardial infarction
Parameter
Finding
Points
age in years
4.385 * LN(age)
systolic blood pressure
2.607 * LN(SBP)
total cholesterol
0.963 * LN(cholesterol)
HDL cholesterol
-0.772 * LN(HDLC)
current smoker
no
0
yes
0.405
serum CRP
0.102 * LN(CRP)
parental history
0.541
X =
= SUM(points for all of the parameters) - 33.097
10-year cardiovascular disease risk =
= (1 - (0.8990^EXP(X)) * 100%
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Purpose: To predict cardiovascular disease in an adult male using the Reynolds score for men.
Specialty: Cardiology
Objective: risk factors
ICD-10: ,