Description

The TURN and TURNP scores are simple scores for predicting symptomatic intracerebral hemorrhage following intravenous thrombolysis for ischemic stroke.The authors are from Yale University and Taipei Medical University.


TURN = thrombolysis risk using mRS and NIHSS

 

Patient selection: IV thrombolysis for an ischemic stroke

 

Outcome: symptomatic intracerebral hemorrhage

 

Parameters:

(1) prestroke modified Rankin score (mRS)

(2) baseline NIH stroke scale

(3) platelet count in 10^9/L

 

Parameter

Points TURN

Points TURNP

mRS

0.270 * (mRS)

0.298 * (mRS)

baseline NIHSS

0.104 * (NIHSS)

0.102 * (NIHSS)

platelet count

 

-0.0096 * (count)

 

TURNP score =

= SUM(points for parameters) - 2.346

 

probability of symptomatic ICH =

= 1 / (1 + EXP((-1) * (TURNP score)))

 

TURN score =

= SUM(points for parameters) - 4.648

 

probability of symptomatic ICH =

= 1 / (1 + EXP((-1) * (TURN score)))

 

In addition to prediction of intracerebral hemorrhage, the TURN score also predicts 90-day outcome.

 

Performance:

• The area under the ROC curve for the TURNP score is 0.78.

• The area under the ROC curve for the TURN score is 0.74.


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