Fanola et al reported the TIMI-AF score for determining the risk of adverse events in a patient with atrial fbrillation. This can help decide what therapy may be best for the patient. The authors are from Brigham and Women's Hospital and Daiichi Sankyo Pharma.
Patient selection: atrial fibrillation with CHADS2 or CHA2DS2-VASc >= 2
Exclusions: creatinine clearance < 30 mL per minute, reversible cause of AF, dual antiplatelet therapy, acute coronary syndrome within past 30 days, acute stroke within 30 days, mitral stenosis, or mechanical valves
Outcome: disabling stroke, life-threatening bleeding, all-cause mortality
Parameters:
(1) age in years
(2) left ventricular function with ejection fraction in percent
(3) hemoglobin in g/dL
(4) race
(5) baseline atrial fibrillation or atrial flutter (associated with sustained or permanent arrhythmia or longer history)
(6) prior ischemic stroke
(7) prior myocardial infarction
(8) serum creatinine in µmol/L
(9) gender
(10) diabetes mellitus
(11) history of carotid artery disease
Parameter |
Finding |
Points |
age in years |
< 66 years |
0 |
|
66 to 74 years |
2 |
|
>= 75 years |
3 |
LVEF in percent |
unknown |
1 |
|
>= 50% |
0 |
|
30 to 49% |
2 |
|
< 30% |
3 |
hemoglobin |
>= 13 g/dL |
0 |
|
< 13 g/dL |
2 |
race |
white |
0 |
|
other |
2 |
baseline atrial fibrillation or flutter |
no |
0 |
|
yes |
1 |
prior ischemic stroke |
no |
0 |
|
yes |
1 |
prior MI |
no |
0 |
|
yes |
1 |
serum creatinine |
< 110 µmol/L |
0 |
|
>= 110 µmol/L |
1 |
gender |
female |
0 |
|
male |
1 |
diabetes mellitus |
no |
0 |
|
yes |
1 |
history of carotid artery disease |
no |
0 |
|
yes |
1 |
total score =
= SUM(points for all 11 parameters)
Interpretation:
• minimum score: 0
• maximum score: 17
• The higher the score the greater the risk for an adverse event.
• A non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulant (such as edoxaban) is preferred for a vitamin K antagonist naive patient (<= 60 days of therapy prior to enrollment) with intermediate or high risk.
• A vitamin K antagonist should be used in a patient who is vitamin K experienced or a patient who is vitamin K antagonist naive and low risk.
Total Score |
Risk |
Event Rate per Year |
0 to 6 |
low |
3.5% |
7 to 9 |
intermediate |
10% |
10 to 17 |
high |
21% |
Specialty: Hematology Oncology, Neurology, Clinical Laboratory, Pharmacology, clinical