Description

Wierda et al developed nomograms for evaluating an untreated patient with chronic lymphocytic leukemia. This can help to identify a patient who may benefit from more aggressive management or a novel therapy. The authors are from M.D. Anderson Cancer Center in Houston.


 

Parameters:

(1) age in years

(2) natural logarithm of serum beta-2 microglobulin in mg/L (reference range 0.6 to 2.0 mg/L)

(3) type of therapeutic regimen

 

points for age =

= (1.333 * (age in years)) - 20

 

points for beta-2 microglobulin =

= (33.214 * LN (beta-2 microglobulin))

 

Therapy

Points

fludarabine, cyclophosphamide, rituximab (FCR)

0

fludarabine and cyclophosphamide (FC)

28.8

fludarabine and mitoxantrone (FM)

28.8

fludarabine (F)

33.8

 

The summation of the points gives an equation that is similar to that given in the paper:

 

total points =

= (1.33 * (age)) + 33.16 * LN(beta-2 microglobulin)) + 13.74 - (5.01 if treated with FC or FM) - (33.74 if treated with FCR)

 

Points

Probability of Overall 10 Year Survival

0

> 90%

1 to 120

100% / 100 * ((-0.002951 * ((points)^2)) - (0.3348 * (points)) + 91.06)

> 120

< 10%

 


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