Description

Yin et al reported the Utah Bleeding Risk Score to predict gastrointestinal bleeding for a patient with a left ventricular assist device (LVAD). This can help to identify a patient who may benefit from more aggressive or alternative management. The authors are from the University of Utah and Intermountain Medical Center in Salt Lake City.


Patient selection: left ventricular assist device, with anticoagulation and/or antiplatelet agents

 

Outcome: gastrointestinal bleeding

 

Parameters:

(1) age in years

(2) history of previous bleeding

(3) coronary artery disease (CAD)

(4) chronic kidney disease (CKD), unspecified eGFR

(5) severe right ventricular dysfunction

(6) mean pulmonary artery pressure in mm Hg (mean PAP)

(7) blood glucose in mg/dL, presumably fasting

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

age in year

<= 54 years of age

0

 

> 54 years of age

1

history of previous bleeding

no

0

 

yes

2

coronary artery disease

no

0

 

yes

1

chronic kidney disease

no

0

 

yes

1

severe right ventricular dysfunction

no

0

 

yes

1

mean PAP

< 18 mm Hg

2

 

>= 18 mm Hg

0

blood glucose

<= 107 mg/dL

0

 

> 107 mg/dL

1

 

total score =

= SUM(points for all of the parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: 0

• maximum score: 9

 

Total Score

Risk Category

3-Year GI Bleeding Risk

0 or 1

low

5%

2 to 4

intermediate

40%

5 to 9

high

84%

 

Performance:

• The area under the ROC curve is 0.74.


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