Description

The Hacettepe Score can be used to predict the risk of death in a patient with perforated peptic ulcer disease. This can identify patients who may benefit from more aggressive therapy. The authors are from Hacettepe University in Ankara, Turkey.


 

Parameters:

(1) comorbid disease

(2) acute renal failure

(3) leukocytosis

(4) gender of the patient

Parameter

Finding

Points

comorbid disease

serious co-existing medical illness present

-10.17

 

no serious co-existing medical illness

0

acute renal failure

present

-12.65

 

absent

0

white blood cell count

>= 20,000 per µL

-6.55

 

< 20,000 per µL

0

gender

female

2.70

 

male

0

 

total score =

= SUM(points for 4 parameters) + 9.46

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: -19.91

• maximum score: 12.16

 

Score

Outcome

< 7.9

more likely to die

>= 7.9

more likely to survive

 

NOTE: Looking at the different score combinations, the presence of any one of the first 3 parameters (comorbid condition, acute renal failure, leukocytosis) is sufficient to put the patient in the poor prognosis category. The gender appears to be irrelevant.

 

Performance:

• The test was slightly more sensitive than the Mannheim Peritonitis Index but less specific, giving it an overall accuracy of 93%.

 


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