Description

The EORTC Thyroid Cancer Group developed a prognostic index for patients with thyroid carcinoma. It uses survival from all causes of death as the endpoint.


Parameters at time of initial diagnosis:

(1) age

(2) gender

(3) histologic type

(4) T category from 1968 TNM classification

(5) distant metastases

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

age

age in years

(age)

gender

male

12

 

female

0

histologic type

anaplastic as principal or secondary pattern

45

 

medullary

10

 

less-differentiated follicular as principal pattern

10

 

other

0

T category for 1968 TNM

3

10

 

0, 1, 2

0

metastases

none

0

 

1

15

 

>= 2

30

 

where:

• T3 code for 1968 TNM classification = extension beyond the thyroid glands with fixation or infiltration of adjacent structures; this corresponds to the current T4. T0 = nonpalpable; T1 = mobile, limited to thyroid, with no deformity; T2 = single or multiple mobile tumors deforming the gland

 

EORTC prognostic index =

= SUM(points for all 5 parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: depends on age of patient (could be < 20)

• maximum score: depends on age of patient (could be > 150)

 

Index

Risk Group

Observed 5 Year Survival

< 50

1

95%

50 – 65

2

80%

66 – 83

3

51%

84 – 108

4

33%

>= 109

5

5%

 

Limitations:

• The index was described in 1979. The expected survival has probably improved since then.


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