Description

Johnston et al evaluated the short term (within 90 days) risk for stroke in patients presenting to the Emergency Department with a Transient Ischemic Attack (TIA). Patients with TIAs have a susbstantial short term risk for stroke, hospitalization, cardiovascular events and death. The presence of certain risk factors can identify patients who may benefit from more aggressive evaluation and treatment. The authors are from 3 hospitals (UCSF, VAMC, KPNC) in San Francisco.


 

Factors determined by logistic regression analysis:

(1) age

(2) diabetes mellitus

(3) duration of episode

(4) weakness during episode

(5) speech impairment during episode

 

Factor

Odds Ratio

95% CI

age of the patient > 60 years

1.8

1.1 – 2.7

diabetes mellitus present

2.0

1.4 – 2.9

duration of episode > 10 minutes

2.3

1.3 – 4.2

weakness with episode

1.9

1.4 – 2.6

speech impairment with episode

1.5

1.1 – 2.1

 

 

Factor

Finding

Points

age of the patient

<= 60 years

0

 

> 60 years

1

diabetes mellitus

absent

0

 

present

1

duration of episode

<= 10 minutes

0

 

> 10 minutes

1

weakness with episode

absent

0

 

present

1

speech impairment with episode

absent

0

 

present

1

 

number of risk factors =

= SUM(points for risk factors)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: 0

• maximum score: 5

• The higher the score, the greater the short term risk for stroke.

 

Number of Risk Factors

Stroke Within 90 Days

0

0%

1

3%

2

7%

3

11%

4

15%

5

34%

 


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