Description

Ananthakrishnan et al developed 2 scores for predicting the risk that a patient hospitalized for Ulcerative Colitis (UC) will need to undergo a colectomy. These can help to identify a patient who may benefit from more aggressive management. The authors are from the Medical College of Wisconsin and the University of Pittsburgh.


Patient selection: hospitalized patient with ulcerative colitis (excluding patients admitted for elective colectomy and for colorectal cancer)

 

The authors developed 2 scores for predicting the risk for total colectomy during the index hospital stay.

 

Parameters (based on ICD-9-CM codes):

(1) anemia

(2) need for blood transfusion

(3) malnutrition

(4) transfer from an outside hospital

(5) admission to a teaching hospital

(6) total parenteral nutrition (TPN)

(7) ulcerative pancolitis

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

anemia

absent

0

 

present

1

need for blood transfusion

no

0

 

yes

1

malnutrition

absent

0

 

present

2

transfer from an outside hospital

no

0

 

yes

1

admission to a teaching hospital

no

0

 

yes

1

 

The first colectomy risk score uses the first 5 items plus the following one (total 6 parameters)

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

total parenteral nutrition

no

0

 

yes

2

 

The second (modified) risk score uses the first 5 items plus the following 2 (total 7 parameters).

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

total parenteral nutrition

no

0

 

yes

1

ulcerative pancolitis

no

0

 

yes

2

 

total risk scores =

= SUM(points for all of the parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum scores: 0

• maximum first score: 8

• maximum modified score: 9

• The higher the score the greater the risk for needing a total colectomy.

 

Total Score (Both Models)

Risk for Total Colectomy

0 or 1

low

2 or 3

moderate

4 or more

high

 


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