Description

Sujan et al developed a score for determining the risk of acute kidney injury (AKI) in a patient with alcoholic hepatitis (AH). Acute kidney injury negatively impacts short-term survival. The authors are from the University of Alabama, Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico, Vall d'Hebron University, the Mayo Clinic, Institute of Liver and Biliary Sciences New Delhi and the University of Pittsburgh.


Patient selection: alocholic hepatitis

 

Parameters:

(1) MELD score

(2) hepatic encephalopathy (HE)

(3) systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS)

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

MELD

 

MELD * LN(1.109) = MELD * 0.1

hepatic encephalopathy

absent

0

 

present

LN(2.775) = 1.02

SIRS

absent

0

 

present

LN(1.993) = 0.69

 

where:

• LN(odds ratio) generates the logistic regression coefficient.

 

AKI AH risk score =

= SUM(points for all 3 parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• The higher the AKI AH the greater the risk for acute kidney injury and the worse the short-term survival.

 

AKI AH Score

 

90-Day Survival

< 3

 low risk

88%

3 to 4

moderate risk

68%

> 4

high risk

47%

 

Performance:

• The area under the ROC curve is 0.76.


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