Description

Sima et al developed several methods of predicting the risk of perioperative transfusion of a patient undergoing elective hepatectomy. One of these involved a simple score. The authors are from Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center in New York City.


 

Patient selection: elective hepatectomy

 

Outcome perioperative red blood cell transfusion

 

Parameters:

(1) number of segments resected

(2) diagnosis

(3) resection of extrahepatic organ at the surgery

(4) preoperative hemoglobin (in g/dL) and gender

(5) preoperative platelet count per µL

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

number of segments resected

0 or 1

0

 

2 or 3

1

 

4 to 6

4

diagnosis

benign

0

 

primary liver malignancy

1

 

metastasis

0

extrahepatic organ resected

no

0

 

yes

1

hemoglobin and gender

female and hemoglobin >= 12

0

 

female and hemoglobin < 12

2

 

male and hemoglobin >= 14

0

 

male and hemoglobin < 14

2

platelet count

>= 125,000 per µL

0

 

< 125,000 per µL

1

 

total score =

= SUM(points for all 5 parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: 0

• maximum score: 9

• The higher the score the more likely that the patient will require blood transfusion.

 

Score

Percent Transfused

0 or 1

16%

2 or 3

29-34%

4 to 6

50%

7 or 8

64%

9

> 64%

 

Performance:

• The tabular data in Figure 5 may be misleading. The data recorded for specificity corresponds to (1 – specificity) on the ROC curve.

• The sensitivity, specificity and ROC curve indicate mediocre performance. Likelihood can be condensed to 4 risk categories.

 


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