Description

Moghnieh et al reported a score for predicting carbapenem resistance in a Enterobacterales colonizing or infecting an inpatient.  The authors are from multiple institutions in Lebanon.


Patient selection: hospital inpatient colonized or infected with an Enterobacterales showing third generation cephalosporin resistance

 

Parameters:

(1) history of cerebrovascular disease

(2) history of hematopoietic cell transplant (HSCT)

(3) chronic wound

(4) history of endoscopy during the 3 months prior to the index hospitalization

(5) nosocomial acquisition of the Enterobacterales

(6) prior therapy with meropenem in the 3 months prior to acquisition

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

history of cerebrovascular disease

no

0

 

yes

2

history of HSCT

no

0

 

yes

8

chronic wound

no

0

 

yes

3

history of endoscopy

no

0

 

yes

3

nosocomial acquisition

definite

0

 

in question

3

prior use of merepenem

no

0

 

yes

6

 

total score =

= SUM(points for all of the parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: 0

• maximum score: 25

• A score >= 5 indicates a high risk of carbapenem resistance.

 

Performance:

• At the cutoff >=5, the score had a sensitivity of 0.65 and specificity of 0.86.

• The area under the ROC curves is 0.79.


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