Er et al reported a score for predicting mortality for a patient undergoing emergency colorectal surgery. The authors are from Ankara NumuneEgitimveArastirmaHastanesi in Turkey.
Patient: status post emergency colorectal surgery
Parameters:
(1) ASA status
(2) serum BUN in mg/dL
(3) serum albumin in g/dL
Parameter
Finding
Points
ASA
1 or 2
0
3 to 5
1
BUN
<= 50 mg/dL
0
> 50 mg/dL
1
serum albumin
>= 2.7 g/dL
0
< 2.7 g/dL
1
total score =
= SUM(points for all of the parameters)
Interpretation:
• minimum score: 0
• maximum score: 3
Score
Grade
Mortality Rate
0
I
7%
1
II
27%
2 or 3
III
63%
Performance:
• The area under the ROC curve is 0.79.
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