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Description

The SAFEHEART score predict the risk of cardiovascular events in a patient with familial hypercholesterolemia. The authors are from multiple institutions in Spain participating in the Spanish Familial Hypercholesterolemia Cohort Study.


Patient selection: familial hypercholesterolemia

 

Parameters:

(1) age in years

(2) sex

(3) history of arteriosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD)

(4) hypertension

(5) body mass index (BMI)

(6) smoking

(7) serum LDL cholesterol in mg/dL

(8) serum lipoprotein A in mg/dL

 

Parameter

Finding

Odds Ratio

LN (OR) = beta-ceofficients

age in years

< 30

1

0

 

30 to 59

2.92

1.07

 

>= 60

4.27

1.45

sex

male

2.01

0.7

 

female

1

0

ASCVD

no

1

0

 

yes

4.15

1.42

hypertension

no

1

0

 

yes

1.99

0.69

BMI

normal

1

0

 

overweight

2.4

0.88

 

obese (> 30)

2.67

0.98

smoking

no

1

0

 

yes

1.62

0.48

LDL cholesterol

< 100

1

0

 

100 to 159

2.5

0.92

 

>= 160

4.8

1.57

lipoprotein A

<= 50

1

0

 

> 50

1.52

0.42

 

value of X =

= SUM(points for beta coefficients) - 5.4078

 

5-year risk of ASCVD =

= 1 - (0.9532 ^(EXP(X)))

 

10-year risk of ASCVD=

= 1 - (0.9025 ^(EXP(X)))

 

Performance:

The area under the ROC curve is 0.85.


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