Description

Janssens et al developed a diagnostic rule for acute gouty arthritis. This can allow a primary care provider to diagnose gouty arthritis without joint fluid analysis. The authors are from Radboud University Nijmegen and Rijnstate Hospital Arhem in The Netherlands.


 

Patient selection: adult with monoarthritis

 

Parameters:

(1) gender

(2) previous report by the patient of an arthritis attack

(3) involvement of first toe metatarsophalangeal (MTP1) joint

(4) history of hypertension and/or cardiovascular disease

(5) beer consumption

(6) serum uric acid concentration in mg/dL

(7) erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR) in mm/h

Parameter

Finding

Points

gender

male

0.92

 

female

0

previous arthritis attack

no

0

 

yes

1.02

involvement of MTP1

no

0

 

yes

1.83

history of hypertension and/or cardiovascular disease

no

0

 

yes

1.01

beer consumption

no

0

 

yes

1.15

serum uric acid

<= 5.88 mg/dL

0

 

> 5.88 mg/dL

2.44

ESR

ESR > 20 AND male

0.68

 

ESR > 30 AND female

0.68

 

neither

0

 

where:

• Wine consumption reduced the risk of gout.

 

X =

= SUM(points for all 7 parameters) - 4.66

 

probability =

= 1 / (1 + EXP((-1) * X)

 

Performance:

• The area under the ROC curve was 0.87.

• The presence of a tophus with uric acid crystals is still the gold standard for diagnosis.

 


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