Sun et al reported a risk score for predicting an emergency house call for a patient receiving regular home visits. The authors are from multiple institutions in Japan.
Patient selection: home care patient receiving regular house calls
Parameters:
(1) home oxygen therapy
(2) long-term care level needs, from 1 (minimum) to 5 (maximum)
(3) cancer
Parameter
Finding
Points
home oxygen therapy
no
0
yes
3
care level needs
1 to 3
0
4 or 5
1
cancer
no
0
yes
4
total score =
= SUM(points for all of the parameters)
Interpretation:
• minimum score: 0
• maximum score: 8
Total Score
Estimated Risk of Emergency Home Visit
0
6.5%
1
9%
3
16%
4
21%
5
27%
7
42%
8
50%
with scores of 2 and 6 not possible
Performance:
• The area under the ROC curve is 0.71.
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