Description

Sun et al reported a risk score for predicting an emergency house call for a patient receiving regular home visits. The authors are from multiple institutions in Japan.


Patient selection: home care patient receiving regular house calls

 

Parameters:

(1) home oxygen therapy

(2) long-term care level needs, from 1 (minimum) to 5 (maximum)

(3) cancer                              

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

home oxygen therapy

no

0

 

yes

3

care level needs

1 to 3

0

 

4 or 5

1

cancer

no

0

 

yes

4

 

total score =

= SUM(points for all of the parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: 0

• maximum score: 8

 

Total Score

Estimated Risk of Emergency Home Visit

0

6.5%

1

9%

3

16%

4

21%

5

27%

7

42%

8

50%

with scores of 2 and 6 not possible

 

Performance:

• The area under the ROC curve is 0.71.


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