Description

Iannuzzi et al reported a risk for for predicting nonhome discharge following lower extremity bypass surgery. This can help to plan surgery and inform the patient. The authors are from the University of California San Francisco, Massachusetts General Hospital and University of Florida Gainesville.


Patient selection: bypass surgery on arteries of a lower extremity

 

Parameters:

(1) age in years

(2) sex

(3) race

(4) ambulation

(5) tissue loss

(6) anemia

(7) insulin dependent diabetes

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

age in years

< 60 years

0

 

60 to 69 years

2

 

70 to 79 years

4

 

>= 80 years

6

sex

male

0

 

female

1

race

white

0

 

nonwhite

2

ambulation

deficit

3

 

no deficit

0

tissue loss

no

0

 

yes

3

anemia

no

0

 

yes

2

insulin dependent DM

no

0

 

yes

2

 

total score =

= SUM(points for all of the parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: 0

• maximum score: 19

• The risk of nonhome discharge (NHD) increases with the score.

• The risk is 5% with a score of 0, 50% with a score of 9 and 100% for a score of 17-19.

 

Total Score

Risk of NHD

0 to 4

low

5 to 9

moderate

10-19

high

 

Performance:

• The area under the ROC curve is 0.78.

 


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