Foster et al reported a score for predicting the risk of pulmonary complications after a esophagectomy. This can help to identify a patient who may benefit from more aggressive management. The authors are from Virginia Commonwealth University and the University of Virginia.
Patient selection: esophagectomy
Outcome: 30-day risk of unplanned reintubation, postoperative pneumonia, failure to liberate from mechanical ventilation within 48 hours of being intubated
Parameters:
(1) age in years
(2) ASA class
(3) history of severe COPD
(4) smoking status
(5) dyspnea
(6) functional dependency
(7) total operation time in minutes
(8) preoperative serum creatinine in mg/dL
Parameter |
Finding |
Points |
age |
< 60 years |
0 |
|
60 to 69 years |
10 |
|
70 to 79 years |
37 |
|
>= 80 years |
49 |
ASA class |
I or II |
0 |
|
III, IV or V |
32 |
history of severe COPD |
no |
0 |
|
yes |
58 |
smoking status |
current or within past year |
34 |
|
stopped > 1 year |
0 |
|
never |
0 |
dyspnea |
none or mild |
0 |
|
moderate or at rest |
35 |
functional dependency |
none |
0 |
|
partial or total |
79 |
operation time |
< 248 minutes |
0 |
|
248 to 335 minutes |
20 |
|
336 to 434 minutes |
26 |
|
>= 435 |
56 |
preoperative creatinine |
<= 1.2 mg/dL |
0 |
|
> 1.2 mg/dL |
30 |
total score =
= SUM(points for all 8 parameters)
Interpretation:
• minimum score: 0
• maximum score: 373
• The higher the score the greater the risk of postoperative pulmonary complications.
Score |
Pulmonary Complications |
< 57 |
10.8-11.7% |
57 to 83 |
17.2-19.4% |
84 to 116 |
22.3-25.2% |
> 116 |
37.2-37.6% |
Specialty: Pulmonology, Anesthesiology, Gastroenterology