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Description

Foster et al reported a score for predicting the risk of pulmonary complications after a esophagectomy. This can help to identify a patient who may benefit from more aggressive management. The authors are from Virginia Commonwealth University and the University of Virginia.


Patient selection: esophagectomy

 

Outcome: 30-day risk of unplanned reintubation, postoperative pneumonia, failure to liberate from mechanical ventilation within 48 hours of being intubated

 

Parameters:

(1) age in years

(2) ASA class

(3) history of severe COPD

(4) smoking status

(5) dyspnea

(6) functional dependency

(7) total operation time in minutes

(8) preoperative serum creatinine in mg/dL

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

age

< 60 years

0

 

60 to 69 years

10

 

70 to 79 years

37

 

>= 80 years

49

ASA class

I or II

0

 

III, IV or V

32

history of severe COPD

no

0

 

yes

58

smoking status

current or within past year

34

 

stopped > 1 year

0

 

never

0

dyspnea

none or mild

0

 

moderate or at rest

35

functional dependency

none

0

 

partial or total

79

operation time

< 248 minutes

0

 

248 to 335 minutes

20

 

336 to 434 minutes

26

 

>= 435

56

preoperative creatinine

<= 1.2 mg/dL

0

 

> 1.2 mg/dL

30

 

total score =

= SUM(points for all 8 parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: 0

• maximum score: 373

• The higher the score the greater the risk of postoperative pulmonary complications.

 

Score

Pulmonary Complications

< 57

10.8-11.7%

57 to 83

17.2-19.4%

84 to 116

22.3-25.2%

> 116

37.2-37.6%

 


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