Genisca et al reported a risk prediction score for a pediatric patient suspected of having an Ebola virus infection. The authors are from Brown University, University of Georgia, International Medical Corps and University of Massachusetts.
Patient selection: pediatric patient with suspected Ebola virus infection in Africa (Democratic Republic of the Congo, Liberia)
Parameters:
(1) Ebola contact
(2) any bleeding
(3) abdominal pain
Parameter
Finding
Points
Ebola contact
no
0
yes
3
no known (? unknown)
2
any bleeding
no
0
yes
2
abdominal pain
no
0
yes
-1
total score =
= SUM(points for all of the parameters)
Interpretation:
• miinimum score: -1
• maximum score: 5
• A score >= 3 has a sensitivity of 0.79 and specificity of 0.82.
Performance:
• The area under the ROC curve is reported as 0.87.
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