Hakim et al reported models for predicting adverse outcomes of febrile neutropenia in pediatric cancer patients. The authors are from St. Jude Children's Research Hospital and University of Tennessee.
Patient selection: febrile neutropenia
Outcomes:
(1) invasive bacterial infection or culture-negative sepsis
(2) clinical complications (altered mental status, cardiac arrhythmia, new ECG change, bleeding resulting in transfusion, CHF, DIC, hypotension, admission to ICU, organ failure)
Parameters:
(1) underlying cancer diagnosis
(2) clinical appearance
(3) temperature at presentation in °C
(4) absolute neutrophil count (ANC) per microliter
(5) prior relapse
(6) race
Parameter |
Finding |
Points for Infection |
Points for Complications |
cancer diagnosis |
AML |
20 |
11 |
|
ALL or lymphoma |
7 |
0 |
|
solid tumor |
0 |
0 |
appearance |
sick or toxic |
14 |
20 |
|
well |
0 |
0 |
temperature |
< 39°C |
0 |
0 |
|
>= 39°C |
11 |
0 |
ANC |
< 100 |
10 |
0 |
|
>= 100 |
0 |
0 |
prior relapse |
no |
0 |
0 |
|
yes |
0 |
11 |
race |
white |
0 |
0 |
|
non-white |
0 |
8 |
total score for infection =
= SUM(points for all of the parameters)
total score for complications =
= SUM(points for all of the parameters)
Interpretation:
• minimum scores: 0
• maximum score for infection: 55
• maximum score for complications: 50
• A score for infection < 24 is associated with low risk.
• A score for complications < 19 is associated with low risk.
Performance:
• The area under the ROC curve for infection is 0.78.
• The area under the ROC curve for complications is 0.80.
Specialty: Infectious Diseases