Description

Hakim et al reported models for predicting adverse outcomes of febrile neutropenia in pediatric cancer patients. The authors are from St. Jude Children's Research Hospital and University of Tennessee.


Patient selection: febrile neutropenia

 

Outcomes:

(1) invasive bacterial infection or culture-negative sepsis

(2) clinical complications (altered mental status, cardiac arrhythmia, new ECG change, bleeding resulting in transfusion, CHF, DIC, hypotension, admission to ICU, organ failure)

 

Parameters:

(1) underlying cancer diagnosis

(2) clinical appearance

(3) temperature at presentation in °C

(4) absolute neutrophil count (ANC) per microliter

(5) prior relapse

(6) race

 

Parameter

Finding

Points for Infection

Points for Complications

cancer diagnosis

AML

20

11

 

ALL or lymphoma

7

0

 

solid tumor

0

0

appearance

sick or toxic

14

20

 

well

0

0

temperature

< 39°C

0

0

 

>= 39°C

11

0

ANC

< 100

10

0

 

>= 100

0

0

prior relapse

no

0

0

 

yes

0

11

race

white

0

0

 

non-white

0

8

 

total score for infection =

= SUM(points for all of the parameters)

 

total score for complications =

= SUM(points for all of the parameters)

 

Interpretation:

minimum scores: 0

maximum score for infection: 55

maximum score for complications: 50

A score for infection < 24 is associated with low risk.

A score for complications < 19 is associated with low risk.

 

Performance:

The area under the ROC curve for infection is 0.78.

The area under the ROC curve for complications is 0.80.


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