Description

van Ramshorst et al developed a model for predicting the risk of abdominal wound dehiscence in an adult. This can help to identify a patient who may benefit from more aggressive management. The authors are from Erasmus University Medical Center in Rotterdam, the Netherlands.


 

Patient selection: adult with a surgical abdominal incision, excluding routine appendectomies

 

Outcome: wound dehiscence

 

Parameters:

(1) age in years

(2) gender

(3) chronic pulmonary disease

(4) ascites

(5) jaundice

(6) anemia

(7) emergency surgery

(8) type of surgery

(9) coughing

(10) wound infection

Parameter

Finding

Points

age in years

< 40 years

0

 

40 to 49 years

0.4

 

50 to 59 years

0.9

 

60 to 69 years

0.9

 

>= 70 years

1.1

gender

female

0

 

male

0.7

chronic pulmonary disease

no

0

 

yes

0.7

ascites

absent

0

 

present

1.5

jaundice

absent

0

 

present

0.5

anemia

absent

0

 

present

0.7

emergency surgery

no

0

 

yes

0.6

type of surgery

gallbladder, bile duct

0.7

 

esophagus

1.5

 

gastroduodenal

1.4

 

small bowel

0.9

 

large bowel

1.4

 

vascular

1.3

 

other

0

coughing

absent

0

 

present

1.4

wound infection

absent

0

 

present

1.9

 

where:

• Within each type of surgery there is a range of complexity.

• The other category included liver, kidney, pancreas, spleen and adrenal gland (page 22).

 

total score =

= SUM(points for all 10 parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum total score: 0

• maximum total score: 10.6

 

X =

= (1.085 * (total score)) - 8.37

 

probability of abdominal wound dehiscence =

= 1 / (1 + EXP((-1) * X))

 


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