Description

Some patients with gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) develop Barrett's esophagus, which involves a specialized intestinal metaplasia of the esophageal mucosa and an associated risk for adenocarcinoma. A patient at risk for Barrett's esophagus may benefit from diagnostic procedures with careful followup. The authors are from the University of Southern California, Los Angeles.


 

Risk factors:

(1) abnormal bile reflux (presence of bilirubin in esophagus based on an light absorbance reading > 0.2 for > 1.7% of the total time)

(2) large hiatal hernia

(3) defective lower esophageal sphincter

(4) male gender

(5) defective distal esophageal contractions

(6) number of reflux episodes lasting more than 5 minutes

(7) GERD symptoms for more than 5 years

 

Risk Factor

Finding

Odds Ratio

95% Confidence Interval

abnormal bile reflux

 

4.2

1.9 – 9.7

hiatal hernia

2 – 4 cm

2.4

1.4 – 4.6

 

> 4 cm

4.1

2.1 – 8.0

defective lower esophageal sphincter

 

2.7

1.4 – 5.4

male gender

 

2.6

1.6 – 4.3

defective distal esophageal contractions

 

2.2

1.4 – 3.5

reflux episodes lasting more than 5 minutes

4 – 7

2.1

1.2 – 3.7

 

> 7

2.2

1.1 – 4.6

GERD symptoms for > 5 years

 

2.1

1.4 – 3.2

 

An additional risk factor for long segment Barrett's disease is:

(8) longest reflux episode

 

Risk Factors for Long Segment Barretts'

Finding

Odds Ratio

95% Confidence Interval

hiatal hernia

> 4 cm

17.8

4.1 – 76.6

 

2-4 cm

8.5

2.3 – 31.7

defective lower esophageal sphincter

 

16.9

1.6 – 181.4

longest reflux episode

19.9 – 31.7 minutes

6.8

2.3 – 20.1

 

> 31.7 minutes

8.1

2.8 – 24.0

 

 

Risk Factor for Short Segment Barrett's

Odds Ratio

95% Confidence Interval

abnormal bile reflux

4.8

1.7 – 13.2

 

number of risk factors =

= SUM(risk factors present)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum number of risk factors: 0

• maximum number of risk factors: 7

• A patient with 1 or more risk factors should be evaluated for an anti-reflux operation as a means to prevent development of Barrett's esophagus.

 


To read more or access our algorithms and calculators, please log in or register.