Description

Hirabayashi et al identified risk factors associated with survival after palliative surgery for spinal metastases. These can help separate patients with a relatively long survival from those whose prognosis is poor. The authors are from Shinshu University in Nagano, Japan.


 

Parameters:

(1) site of primary tumor

(2) ability to ambulate post-operatively

(3) number of months able to walk after surgery

Primary Site

Survival Group

Median Survival in Months

multiple myeloma (bone marrow)

long

44.4

thyroid

long

25.5

prostate

long

20.1

breast

intermediate

18.6

rectum

intermediate

15.2

liver

short

8.7

kidney

short

8.8

other

short

7.0

pancreas

short

5.7

esophagus

short

4.7

lung

short

4.5

stomach

short

2.1

from Table 5, page 479

 

NOTE: The authors separated patients into those with favorable cancers (myeloma, thyroid, prostate) and those with unfavorable (all others). I think breast and rectum are worth separating into an intermediate category.

 

Patients who were able to ambulate after surgery had a median survival of 14.7 months, while those who were unable to ambulate had a median survival of 3.6 months (Figure 2, page 480).

 

Parameter

Relative Hazard

95% CI

p value

favorable histology (long survival group)

6.9

3.3 – 14.6

< 0.0001

postoperative ambulation

3.6

2.1 – 7.2

< 0.0001

 

For patients who were able to ambulate after surgery (Figure 4, page 481):

 

survival in months =

= (0.976 * (months able to walk after surgery)) + 2.725

 


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