Description

Gooiker et al reported risk factors for excess mortality at 1-year following curative surgery for colorectal cancer. This can help to identify a patient who may benefit from more aggressive management. The authors are from Leiden University Medical Centre, Comprehensive Cancer Centre Leiden and HAGA Hospital The Hague in the Netherlands.


Patient selection: colorectal cancer following curative surgery (excludes Stage IV)

 

Risk factors for excess mortality in a patient with colon cancer:

(1) emergency surgery (relative excess risk 3.3)

(2) Charlson comorbidity index >= 2 (relative excess risk 5.2

(3) stage III (relative excess risk 2.6)

(4) postoperative complications (relative excess risk 2.1)

 

Risk factors for excess mortality in a patient with rectal cancer:

(1) age >= 75 years (relative excess risk 7.0)

(2) Charlson comorbidity index >= 1 (see Figure 2)

(3) stage II or III (see Figure 2)

(4) postoperative complications (relative excess risk 5.9)

 

where:

Postoperative adverse events include surgical site infections, abdominal wall problems, bleeding, anastomotic leak, cardiac problems, pneumonia, and thromboemboli. The authors used a prolonged length of stay (>= 15 days after surgery) as a substitute for overall complications.

The Charlson comorbidity score probably is after excluding malignancy since this conveys 2 points, making a value of 0 or 1 impossible.


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