Description

Blais et al identified a number of risk factors for short-term mortality following aortic valve replacement (AVR). The authors are from Laval University in Quebec, Canada.


 

Patient selection: aortic valve replacement

 

Outcome: 30-day mortality following surgery

 

Parameters:

(1) left ventricular ejection fraction

(2) infective endocarditis

(3) timing of the surgery

(4) cardiopulmonary bypass time in minutes

(5) prosthetic-patient mismatch (PPM) for the valve

 

Parameters

Finding

Points

left ventricular ejection fraction

>= 40%

0

 

< 40%

1

infective endocarditis

absent

0

 

present

1

timing of the surgery

routine

0

 

emergent or salvage

1

cardiopulmonary bypass time

<= 120 minutes

0

 

> 120 minutes

1

PPM

none or mild

0

 

moderate or severe

1

 

total number of risk factors =

= SUM(points for all 5 parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum number of risk factors: 0

• maximum number of risk factors: 5

• The short-term mortality increases with the number of risk factors present.

 

PPM

LVEF < 40%

LVEF >= 40%

none or mild

RR 2.7

RR 1.0

moderate

RR 7.1

RR 1.8

severe

RR 77.1

RR 11.3

 


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