Description

Benavente et al evaluated the risk for stroke in patients with carotid artery stenosis who present with transient monocular blindness. This can help identify those patients who may benefit from surgical endartectomy or be better managed medically. The authors are from University of Texas at San Antonio, University of Western Ontario, and the Rabin Medical Center in Israel.


 

Patient selection:

(1) stenosis of the internal carotid artery

(2) transient monocular blindness

 

Parameters:

(1) age

(2) gender

(3) history of stroke

(4) history of intermittent claudication

(5) percent carotid stenosis

(6) collateral circulation

Parameters

Finding

Points

age of the patient in years

>= 75 years

0

 

< 75

1

gender of the patient

female

0

 

male

1

history of hemispheric transient ischemic attack (TIA) or stroke

absent

0

 

present

1

history of intermittent claudication

absent

0

 

present

1

percent carotid artery stenosis

< 80% (50 - 79%)

0

 

80 - 94%

1

 

near occlusion

0

collateral circulation

present

0

 

absent

1

 

where:

• The failure of near occlusion being a risk factor strikes me as odd. I wonder how often patients with severe occlusion rarely present with transient monocular blindness.

 

number of risk factors =

= SUM(points for all 6 parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum number of risk factors: 0

• maximum number of risk factors: 6

• The greater the number of risk factors, the greater the risk of stroke in the patient.

 

Number of Risk Factors

Risk Group

Risk of Stroke in 3 Years with Medical Management

0 or 1

low

1.8%

2

moderate

12.3%

3 to 6

high

24.2%

 

 

Risk Group

Absolute Risk Reduction with Endartectomy

low

increases risk 2.2

moderate

decreases risk 4.9

high

decreases risk 14.3

 


To read more or access our algorithms and calculators, please log in or register.