Bernstein and Parsonnet developed a model for predicting the risk of cardiac surgery. This consists of a subscore for core risk factors and a subscore for special risk factors. The authors are from Newark Beth Israel Medical Center in New Jersey.
Patient selection: prior to cardiac surgery
Parameters:
(1) age in years
(2) sex
(3) congestive heart failure
(4) COPD
(5) diabetes
(6) ejection fraction in percent
(7) hypertension (> 140/90 mm Hg; history of; taking antihypertensive medications)
(8) left-main coronary artery stenosis
(9) body weight and morbid obesity
(10) preoperative intra-aortic balloon pump (IABP)
(11) reoperation
(12) proposed procedure
Parameter |
Finding |
Points |
age in years |
< 70 years |
0 |
|
70 to 75 years |
2.5 |
|
76 to 79 years |
7 |
|
>= 80 years |
11 |
sex |
male |
0 |
|
female |
6 |
congestive heart failure |
no |
0 |
|
yes |
2.5 |
COPD |
none to moderate |
0 |
|
severe |
6 |
diabetes |
no |
0 |
|
yes |
3 |
ejection fraction |
>= 50% |
0 |
|
30 to 49% |
6.5 |
|
< 30% |
8 |
hypertension |
no |
0 |
|
yes |
3 |
left main coronary artery stenosis |
< 50% |
0 |
|
>= 50% |
2.5 |
body weight |
<= 1.5 times ideal weight |
0 |
|
> 1.5 times ideal weight |
1 |
preoperative IABP |
no |
0 |
|
yes |
4 |
reoperation |
none |
0 |
|
first reoperation |
10 |
|
two or more reoperation |
20 |
proposed procedure |
aortic valve |
0 |
|
mitral valve |
4.5 |
|
valve and aortocoronary bypass |
6 |
|
other |
0 |
subscore for core risk factors =
= SUM(points for all of the risk factors)
Interpretation:
• minimum score: 0
• maximum score: 73
• The higher the subscore the greater the risk.
Specialty: Cardiology, Anesthesiology, Surgery, general