Description

Jo et al developed a model with nomogram for predicting the risk of readmission to the medical care unit (MICU). A patient at risk for readmission may benefit from more aggressive management. The authors are from 


Patient selection: adult (>= 18 years of age) discharged from medical intensive care unit (MICU), intubated for > 48 hours (excluded if not intubated or if extubated within 48 hours)

 

Other exclusions: do not resuscitate order, admission following elective surgery, transfer to another ICU in the same hospital

 

Parameters:

(1) gender

(2) diabetes mellitus

(3) continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT)

(4) white blood cell count on day of extubation per µL

(5) heart rate just before ICU discharge

 

points for WBC count =

= MIN(100,(2.5 * ((WBC count) / 1000))

 

Heart Rate

Points

< 50

0

50 to 140

(0.6133 * (heart rate)) - 30.6667

> 140

55.2

 

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

gender

male

20.7

 

female

0

diabetes mellitus

no

0

 

yes

25.9

continuous renal replacement

no

0

 

yes

19.8

 

total score =

= SUM(points for all 5 parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: 0

• maximum score: 221.6

• The higher the score the greater the risk of readmission to the MICU.

 

Score

Risk of Readmission

< 35.9

< 1%

35.9 to 73.8

(0.10554 * (points)) - 2.7889

73.8 to 140.7

(0.00592 * ((points)^2)) - (0.5856 * (points)) + 14.78

> 140.7

> 50%

 


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