Description

Iannuzzi et al developed a score for predicting unplanned readmission following vascular surgery. This can help to identify a patient who may benefit from more aggressive management. The authors are from the University of Rochester.


 

Patient selection: vascular surgery

 

Outcome: unplanned readmission within 30 days

 

Parameters:

(1) race

(2) pulmonary comorbidity

(3) cardiac comorbidity

(4) renal comorbidity

(5) serum albumin

(6) hematocrit

(7) steroid therapy

(8) bleeding disorder

(9) diabetes mellitus

(10) timing of case

(11) operative time in minutes

(12) procedure

(13) disposition following discharge

(14) venous thromboembolism before discharge

(15) graft failure before discharge

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

race

black (Afican American)

1

 

other

0

pulmonary comorbidity

no

0

 

yes

2

cardiac comorbidity

no

0

 

yes

2

renal comorbidity

no

0

 

yes

1

serum albumin

>= 3.5 g/dL

0

 

< 3.5 g/dL (hypoalbuminemia)

2

hematocrit

>= 36 percent

0

 

< 36 percent

2

steroid therapy

no

0

 

yes

2

bleeding disorder

no

0

 

yes

1

diabetes

no

0

 

yes

1

timing of case

elective

0

 

nonelective (emergency, urgent)

1

operative time

<= 150 minutes

0

 

> 150 minutes

1

procedure

carotid endarterectomy

0

 

endovascular abdominal aortic repair (EVAR)

0

 

open AAA

3

 

peripheral vascular

5

 

amputation

1

 

other

3

disposition

home

0

 

nursing home

3

 

rehabilitation facility

2

venous thromboembolism

no

0

 

yes

4

graft failure

no

0

 

yes

5

 

where:

• In Table II hematocrit is <= 36% and in Table IV it is < 36%.

• The hematocrit cutoff is not different for males and females.

 

total score =

= SUM(points for all 15 parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: 0

• maximum score: 33 (26 in study)

• The higher the score the greater the risk for unplanned readmission.

Score

Risk Group

Percent Readmission

0 to 3

low

5%

4 to 7

intermediate

9%

>= 8

high

16%

 

When the data in Figure 1 is analyzed:

 

risk of readmission for scores from 0 to 26 =

= (0.0577 * ((points)^2)) + (0.334 * (points)) + 4.852

 


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