Description

Shetler et al developed a prognostic score for patients with delayed heart rate recovery after exercise testing. This can help quantitate the risk associated with failure of the heart rate to return to normal after exercise. The authors are from Stanford University.


Testing was done on a treadmill using a standard protocol. After maximal tolerated exercise was reached, the patients were placed in a supine position; a cool-down walk was not performed.

 

Parameters:

(1) age in years

(2) presence of angina pectoris during the exercise test (variable value = 1 if angina definitely present, else 0)

(3) heart rate drop from maximum at 2 minutes after exercise stopped

(4) MET level during exercise (estimated from treadmill speed and grade)

 

heart rate drop at 2 minutes in beats per minute =

= (maximal heart rate achieved) – (heart rate at 2 minutes after exercise stopped)

 

prognostic score =

= (age in years) + (10 * (value for angina pectoris)) – (heart rate drop at 2 minutes) – (5 * (MET level))

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: < 0

• maximum score: > 50

• The higher the score, the greater the risk.

 

Score

Risk Group

Survival Rate at 10 Years

< 20

low

90%

20 – 25

intermediate

70%

> 25

high

33%

from Figure 5, page1984


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