Description

A prognostic score can be used to predict risk in patients with localized carcinoma of the prostate undergoing radiation treatment.


 

Patient inclusion:

(1) T1-T4, NX or N0, M0 (localized disease)

(2) irradiated for clinically localized adenocarcinoma of the prostate

 

Parameters:

(1) tumor stage (T1, T2, T3 or T4)

(2) Gleason score (sum of 2 predominant Gleason Grades 1-5; score range 2-10)

(3) serum PSA in ng/mL

Parameter

Finding

Risk Value

tumor stage

Stage T1 or T2

0

 

Stage T3 or T4

1

Gleason score

Score 2-6

0

 

Score 7-10

1

 

risk score =

= (1.07 * (tumor stage risk value)) + (1.21 * (Gleason score risk value)) + (1.2 * (LN(PSA in ng/mL)))

 

Interpretation:

• minimum value: < -2

• maximum value: > 7 (dependent on serum PSA)

 

Risk Score

Risk Group

Relapse Free within 5 years of Radiation Therapy (95% CI)

< 3.1

low

92% (87-97%)

3.1 - 4.9

intermediate

67% (58-78%)

> 4.9

high

24% (15-38%)

 

Limitations:

• In Table 1, page 2156, the coefficients for the logistic regression model give the tumor stage coefficient as 1.21 and the Gleason score coefficient as 1.07, which are the reverse for the values in the equation given.

 


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