A prognostic score can be used to predict risk in patients with localized carcinoma of the prostate undergoing radiation treatment.
Patient inclusion:
(1) T1-T4, NX or N0, M0 (localized disease)
(2) irradiated for clinically localized adenocarcinoma of the prostate
Parameters:
(1) tumor stage (T1, T2, T3 or T4)
(2) Gleason score (sum of 2 predominant Gleason Grades 1-5; score range 2-10)
(3) serum PSA in ng/mL
Parameter |
Finding |
Risk Value |
tumor stage |
Stage T1 or T2 |
0 |
|
Stage T3 or T4 |
1 |
Gleason score |
Score 2-6 |
0 |
|
Score 7-10 |
1 |
risk score =
= (1.07 * (tumor stage risk value)) + (1.21 * (Gleason score risk value)) + (1.2 * (LN(PSA in ng/mL)))
Interpretation:
• minimum value: < -2
• maximum value: > 7 (dependent on serum PSA)
Risk Score |
Risk Group |
Relapse Free within 5 years of Radiation Therapy (95% CI) |
< 3.1 |
low |
92% (87-97%) |
3.1 - 4.9 |
intermediate |
67% (58-78%) |
> 4.9 |
high |
24% (15-38%) |
Limitations:
• In Table 1, page 2156, the coefficients for the logistic regression model give the tumor stage coefficient as 1.21 and the Gleason score coefficient as 1.07, which are the reverse for the values in the equation given.
Specialty: Hematology Oncology, Surgery, general, Urology