Description

Hasford et al of the Collaborative CML Prognostic Factors Project Group developed a prognostic score for patients with chronic myeloid leukemia treated with interferon alfa. The patients studied were collected from 12 institutions and were enrolled in 14 studies.


 

Exclusion criteria:

(1) > 10% blasts in peripheral blood

(2) blasts + promyelocytes > 30% in peripheral blood

(3) > 15% blasts in bone marrow

(4) blasts + promyelocytes > 50% in bone marrow

(5) extramedullary manifestations

(6) 2 Philadelphia chromosomes, trisomy 8 or isochromosome 17

 

Parameters used for prognostic score:

(1) age in years

(2) size of spleen

(3) percent blasts in peripheral blood

(4) percent eosinophils in peripheral blood

(5) percent basophils in peripheral blood

(6) platelet count

Parameter

Finding

Value

age

< 50 years of age

0

 

>= 50

1

spleen

maximum extent below left costal margin

number of centimeters

blasts

percent of blood differential

from 0 to 100

eosinophils

percent of blood differential

from 0 to 100

basophils

< 3% of blood differential

0

 

>= 3%

1

platelets

< 1,500,000 per µL

0

 

>= 1,500,000 per µL

1

 

prognostic score =

= 1000 * ((0.6666 * (age value)) + (0.0420 * (spleen value)) + (0.0584 * (blast value)) + (0.0413 * (eosinophils value)) + (0.2039 * (basophils value)) + (1.0956 * (platelets value)))

 

Interpretation:

• minimum value seen in 908 patients: 0

• maximum value seen in 908 patients: 2,697

• mean value: 916

 

Prognostic Score

Risk Group

Median Survival

5 Year Survival

<= 780

low risk

98 months

76%

> 780 and <= 1480

intermediate risk

65 months

55%

> 1480

high risk

42 months

25%

 


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