Description

Gold et al developed a prognostic nomogram for a patient with a primary gastrointestinal tumor (GIST). These can help to identify a patient who may benefit from more aggressive management. The authors are from multiple hospitals in the United States and Spain.


 

Patient selection: primary GIST following complete surgical excision

 

Parameters:

(1) diameter in centimeters

(2) mitotic rate per 50 high power microscopic fields (hpf)

(3) site

 

Diameter

Points

< 15 cm

(-0.198 * ((diameter)^2)) + (7.826 * (points)) - 0.07

>= 15 cm

49.73 + (1.007 * (diameter))

 

where:

• The diameter in the nomogram goes to 50 cm or 0.5 meter.

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

mitotic rate

0 to 4 per 50 hpf

0

 

>= 5 per 50 hpf

81

location

stomach

0

 

colon or rectum

6

 

small bowel

39

 

other

0

 

total score =

= SUM(points for all 3 parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: 0

• maximum score: 220

• The higher the score the worse the prognosis.

 

Total Score

Percent with 5-Year Recurrence Free Survival

< 33

> 90%

33 to 83

(-0.007134 * ((points)^2)) + (0.227 * (points)) + 90.38

83 to 130

149.6 - (1.081 * (points))

> 130

< 10%

 


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