Description

Zhu et al reported a prognostic model for a patient with mantle cell lymphoma. This can help to identify a patient who may benefit from more aggressive management. The authors are from Soochow University in Changzhou, China.


Patient selection: mantle cell lymphoma

 

Presentation of model: nomogram

 

Parameters:

(1) Ki-67 in percent

(2) WBC count in 10^9/L

(3) age in years

(4) ECOG performance status

(5) ratio of serum LDH to upper limit of normal

 

Parameter

Finding

Points

Ki-67

<30%

0

 

>= 30%

98

WBC

< 6.7 * 10^9/L

0

 

6.7 to 9.99

9.6

 

10 to 14.99

19.2

 

>= 15

29.6

age

< 50

0

 

50 to 59

13.8

 

60 to 69

27.5

 

>= 70

41.5

ECOG

0 or 1

0

 

2 to 4

100

LDH to ULN ratio

< 0.67

0

 

0.67 to 0.99

29

 

1.00 to 1.49

58.8

 

>= 1.5

88

 

total score =

= SUM(points for all 5 parameters)

 

Interpretation:

minimum score: 0

maximum score: 357.1

The higher the score the worse the overall survival.

 

Score

1-Year Overall Survival

< 127.7

> 90%

127.7 to 234.2

(-0.0015016 * ((score)^2)) + (0.2623 * (score)) + 80.948

234.2 to 335

177.75 - (0.5048 * (score))

> 335

< 10%

 

 

Score

3-Year Overall Survival

< 54.2

> 90%

54.2 to 158

(-0.001599 * ((score)^2)) + (0.05337 * (score)) + 91.659

158 to 259.7

139.48 - (0.50198 * (score))

> 259.7

< 10%

 


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