Shulman and Benaim developed a prognostic model for event-free survival (EFS) in men with androgen-independent prostate cancer. This can help identify patients who may benefit from more aggressive management. The authors are from the University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center and the Veterans Affairs Hospital in Dallas.
Patient selection: prostate cancer with disease progression during androgen deprivation therapy
Model: derived by recursive partitioning analysis
Parameters:
(1) metastatic prostate cancer at time of diagnosing androgen-independent disease progression
(2) time to PSA recurrence
(3) PSA doubling time
PSA Doubling Time |
Metastatic Disease |
Time to PSA Recurrence |
Risk Group |
> 10 months |
NA |
NA |
low |
<= 10 months |
absent |
NA |
intermediate |
<= 10 months |
present |
> 13 months |
intermediate |
<= 10 months |
present |
<= 13 months |
high |
Risk Group |
Mean EFS in months |
Mean Number of Bone Events |
low |
96 months |
0.3 |
intermediate |
34 (28 - 43) months |
0.7 |
high |
6 months |
1.4 |
Specialty: Hematology Oncology, Surgery, general, Urology