Description

Naqvi et al developed a prognostic model for patients with the myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS). This incorporates the patient's comorbidity into a score for predicting overall survival. The authors are from the University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center in Houston.


 

Parameters:

(1) age in years

(2) comorbidity by the Adult Comorbidity Evaluation -27 (ACE-27)

(3) myelodysplasia IPSS

Parameter

Finding

Points

age in years

<= 65 years of age

0

 

> 65 years of age

2

comorbidity

none

0

 

mild or moderate

1

 

severe

3

IPSS

low or intermediate-1

0

 

intermediate-2

2

 

high

3

 

where:

• Points were obtained by dividing the coefficients from the multivariate analysis by 0.3.

 

total score =

= SUM(points for all 3 parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum score: 0

• maximum score: 8

• The higher the score the worse the survival.

 

Total Score

Risk Group

Median Survival

Percent Survival at 4 Years

0 or 1

low

43 months

45%

2 to 4

intermediate

23 months

24%

5 to 8

high

9 months

6%

 


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