Ma et al reported a model for predicting survival for an adult with acute myeloid leukemia (AML). The authors are from Shanghai Jiao Tong University in Shanghai, China.
Patient selection: adult with AML
Parameters:
(1) age in years
(2) hematopoietic cell transplant comorbidity index (HCT-CI)
(3) WBC count in 10^9/L
(4) hemoglobin in g/L
(5) biallellic CEBPA
(6) DNMT3A
(7) FLT3-ITD/NPM1 status
(8) European Leukaemic Net (ELN) cytogenetic risk status
Parameter |
Finding |
Points |
age in years |
< 65 years |
0 |
|
>= 65 years |
2.4 |
HCT-CI |
< 1 |
0 |
|
>= 1 |
3.8 |
WBC count |
< 50 * 10^9/L |
0 |
|
>= 50 * 10^9/L |
2.7 |
hemoglobin |
>= 100 g/L |
0 |
|
60 to 99.9 g/L |
3.4 |
|
< 60 g/L |
5.0 |
biallelic CEBPA |
mutated |
0 |
|
wild type |
5.4 |
|
monoallelic |
5.4 |
DNMT3 |
wild type |
0 |
|
mutated |
4.4 |
FLT3-ITD/NPM1 |
ITD(-), NPM1(+) |
0 |
|
ITD(-), NPM1(-) |
4.4 |
|
ITD(+), NPM1(+) |
5.3 |
|
ITD(+), NPM1(-) |
10 |
ELN cytogenetic risk |
favorable |
0 |
|
intermediate |
3.0 |
|
adverse |
8.0 |
total score =
= SUM(points for all of the parameters)
Interpretation:
• minimum score: 0
• maximum score: 41.7
Total Score |
Probability of 3-Year Survival |
< 6.8 |
> 90% |
6.8 to 23.9 |
(0.00009546 * ((score)^3)) - (0.005918 * ((score)^2)) + (0.06025 * (score)) + 0.7294 |
> 23.9 |
< 10% |
Specialty: Hematology Oncology