Description

Sawaki et al developed a prognostic index for evaluating a patient with metastatic pancreatic carcinoma treated with gemcitabine. The authors are from Aichi Cancer Center Hospital in Nagoya, Japan.


 

Dosing regimen for gemcitabine: 1 gram per square meter BSA weekly for 3 weeks, followed by 1 week rest

 

Parameters:

(1) ECOG performance scale

(2) location of the primary tumor in the pancreas

(3) serum C-reactive protein (CRP) concentration

Parameter

Finding

Points

ECOG performance scale

0 or 1

1

 

2

2

 

3

5

location of the primary tumor

body or tail

1

 

head

3

serum CRP

< 1 mg/dL

1

 

1 - 3 mg/dL

3

 

> 3 mg/dL

6

 

where:

• ECOG 4 was not mentioned but would be associated with a poor prognosis.

 

prognostic index =

= SUM(points for all 3 parameters)

 

Interpretation:

• minimum index: 3

• maximum index: 14

• The higher the index the worse the prognosis.

 

Index

Median Survival

Benefit of Gemcitabine

3 or 4

265 days

good prognosis without gemcitabine

5 to 8

155 days

likely to benefit from gemcitabine

9 to 12

65 days

unlikely to benefit from gemcitabine

 


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