Description

Estey identified 3 prognostic groups in patients with acute myelogenous leukemia (AML). The probable prognosis for a patient can help identify the best therapeutic approach to use. The author is from the M.D. Anderson Cancer Center in Houston.


 

Better prognostic group - all of the following:

(1) age < 60

(2) better cytogenetic findings: inv 16; t(16;16); t(8;21)

(3) ECOG/Zubrod performance score of 0, 1 or 2 (not bedridden more than half of the day).

(4) no history of antecedent hematologic disorders (myelodysplasia, etc.)

(5) MDR1 (multi-drug resistant protein) negative

 

where:

• Items 3 to 5 are not listed in the paper but seem appropriate based on the intermediate and worse prognosis groups below.

 

Intermediate prognostic group: all of the following

(1) age < 70

(2) no history of antecedent hematologic disorders (myelodysplasia, etc.)

(3) ECOG/Zubrod performance score of 0, 1 or 2 (not bedridden more than half of the day)

(4) MDR1 (multi-drug resistant protein) negative

(5) intermediate cytogenetic findings: monosomy 5 (-5), monosomy 7 (-7), deletion of the long arm of 5 (5q-), deletion of the long arm of 7 (7q-), complex abnormalities (abnormalities affecting >= 3 chromosomes)

 

Worse prognostic group: anyone not in the better or intermediate prognostic groups.

 

The worse prognostic group includes a group of patients likely to die during induction therapy. This includes either:

(1) patients > 80 years of age, OR

(2) ECOG/Zubrod performance score of 3 or 4 (bedridden most the day or all of the time)

Prognostic Group

Probability of Survival at 1 Year

Probability of Survival at 2 Years

better

85%

64%

intermediate

50%

32%

worse

24%

8%

from Figure 2, page 1063.

 

Prognostic Group

Preferred Therapy

better

standard therapy indicated

intermediate

either standard or investigational therapy indicated

worse

investigational therapy (standard therapy has little to offer)

 


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